Wednesday, June 11, 2014

NVABL Trade Announcement -- Nathan to the Pirates!


The Sterling Pirates announce the trade of Nats' past and future closer Drew Storen to Occoquan Osprey for the shell of a washed up Joe Nathan + OCC#9 pick.

Monday, June 2, 2014

Newsletter - June 2, 2014

NVABL Newsletter

June 2014


The Commissioner Speaks

His eminence verbally issued a recommendation to me today, that is noteworthy in maintaining the composure and Zen-like peace we enjoy in the NVABL.  He said that in the absence of a volunteer after a series is finished, it should fall to the winner of the series to write it up, and if the series was a tie it should fall to the home team.  It was my misunderstanding all these years that I thought the home team was supposed to write it up.  Now I’ll be able to enter the bliss of rarely doing write-ups unless some kind of miracle happens and I turn this season around.

The Standings

Coastal Division
W
L
%
GB
30
18
.625
--
15
9
.625
3
14
10
.583
4
19
17
.528
5
9
11
.450
7
12
16
.429
8

Piedmont Division
W
L
%
GB
27
9
.750
--
5
3
.625
8
19
29
.396
14
19
29
.396
14
5
11
.313
12
10
22
.313
15

Results

May 2014

  OCC 0 at ROS 4
  ARL 1 at OCC 3
  WAS 2 at SEA 2
  SPR 3 at SEA 1
  STO 3 at ARL 1
  WAS 2 at ARL 2
  ARL 1 at ROS 3
  CPC 3 at STP 1
  OCC 0 at STP 4
  OCC 3 at OAK 1
  OCC 1 at STO 3
  WAS 1 at CPC 3
  CPC 1 at ROS 3

 

Who’s Hot and Who’s Not

The records for the teams during May are:
Roswell 10-2, (30-18) It was another great month for Bob, powering into first place in the tough Coastal Division, and on pace for a 55 win season.  If Bob could somehow hold on and win the division, it could be a huge difference maker for Roswell, Oakton, and Springfield in the playoffs.

Stonehenge 6-2, (27-9) The Stonehenge battering ram rolls on with 3-1 results in every series.  The .750 winning percentage is a pace that would set a record 66 wins this season.  The Druids still have not faced Oakton, thought they have swept Roswell.  That’s part of why the division race is so critical in the Coastal.  Stonehenge all but has the Piedmont division championship sewn up with a 14 game lead over the nearest playoff eligible foes.  You do not want to face the Druids in the semi-finals if you can help it.

Springfield 3-1, (15-8) Being as busy as Chris is, it was nice to get a series in and take it 3-1.  Chris will be playing much more in June and he has started scheduling the games.

Sterling 5-3, (12-16) The Pirates are still fighting and have brought new hopes for a playoff spot.  It might come down to July trades with this team, to see which way they are going to go.  If they trade for a little help this year it could make them a playoff team.  If they trade for next year they are looking very tough next year.

Columbia Pike 7-5, (19-17) The Cubs played 3 series in May and had a winning record, which maintained their position to be 7th seed in the playoffs.  The continual string of favorable results we see from this team reinforces the message that Steve is a very good manager.

Washington 5-7, (19-29) Bad luck continues for this Senator franchise it is not that Bart is a bad manager.  This team on paper should be over .500 and are now 10 games under .500.  Perhaps June will be the month they snap out of their funk.

Seacoast 3-5,(10-22) The Wayfarers split with Washington and lost to Springfield 3-1.  They are hoping for the Hamner trophy, and are still on pace for it.  The gap is closing though, as Occoquan has dumped 2 of their best cards, while Seacoast stood pat.

Occoquan 7-13, (19-29) This team has fallen out of contention for the 8th playoff spot.  The record is the same as Washington’s it is true, but the roster does not support any hope they will be close to Washington in the end.

Arlington 5-11, (5-11) It was good to see Arlington finally playing this month.  Arlington matching Seacoast’s losing percentage for 16 games makes it a 3 team race for the Hamner trophy.  A new manager in the league might be blessed with the number 1 pick in next year’s draft.

Oakton 1-3, (14-10) It was a tough month for the Aviators, not playing much, losing to the lowly Ospreys in their first meeting of the season, and falling 4 games behind division leader Roswell.

Delphi 0-0, (9-11) George did not play in May.  It’s going to be up to June to see if they remain in playoff contention prior to a possible sell off in July.

Vermont 0-0 , (5-3) Did not play.  They are still looking for an owner.

 

Transactions

OCC sends Antre Ethier to SPR for Michael Bourn
OCC sends Prince Fielder to ROS for ROS #3.

Trader Roberto is still doing the most trading in this league.  In both trades Occoquan sends a player whose card is better this year than it is likely to be next year.  Both Ethier and Fielder should have good cards a couple of more times in their careers, but I am cutting bait and looking towards next year.

Michael Bourn’s OPS is slightly better next year at this point than Ethier’s, but the weakness is in picking up a player who relies on his legs and who is now getting old.  As Larry said, I didn’t get a young enough guy to be worth making that trade.  Bourn will help me live out the 2014 year however, making it less painful in the runs scored against department by finally having an OF-3 I can start every day.

You’ve got to like those -1/-1 splits Prince Fielder brings to Roswell’s roster.  Roswell has been a team that historically has struggled with some of the main power guys not being able to hit lefties.  It’s nice to have the consistency of a player who you never need to worry about subbing out when a new pitcher is brought into the game.  His card is not bad, with 14 safe numbers, but it would be nice to have a 4th power number on 22 rather than a 7.  We see this often now in the post-steroid ERA.

 




 

2015 Kilg Korner


Hitting

Pitching

Overall

Team     OPS         Rank     Top Player
OAK         0.812     1               Tulowitzki
SEA          0.806     2               Stanton
ARL          0.766     3               N. Cruz
STE           0.757     4               V. Martinez
STO          0.750     5               Encarnacion
CPK         0.748     6.5           Puig
DEL          0.748     6.5           Bautista
VER          0.736     8               Donaldson
WAS        0.714     9               Gonzalez
SPR          0.713     10            Blackmon
OCC         0.710     11            Rios
ROS         0.707     12            Utley
Team     ERA          Rank       Top Player
ROS         3.20        1               Cueto
VER          3.21        2               Teheran
SPR          3.25        3               Peralta
WAS        3.30        4               Gray
STE           3.37        5               Sale
OAK         3.39        6               Hernandez
STO          3.46        7               Wainwright
DEL          3.76        8               Darvish
CPK         3.79        9               Hudson
ARL          3.93        10            Samardzija
OCC         3.97        11            Leake
SEA          4.40        12            Qualls
Team
Rank
OAK
1
STE
2
VER
3
STO
4
ROS
6.5
SPR
6.5
WAS
6.5
ARL
6.5
SEA
9
DEL
10
CPK
11
OCC
12

OAK – Hitting 1st and Pitching 6th, the Aviators are returning to their usual position as the best franchise in the league.  If Larry were to sell them it would be for $2 billion easily.

STE – The Pirates rode consistency in both hitting and pitching to become the 2nd best team.  This is a team to watch and watch out for.

VER – Vermont pitching is starting to blossom for 2015.  This team is 3rd overall with 2nd in pitching and 8th in hitting.

STO – It was great month for the Druid bats, jumping from 10th to 5th led by Edwin Encarnacion who earned his first “One” on next year’s card with 19 home runs.  In pitching it was not so great, falling from 4th to 7th.  But John Lester is starting to look like a dominant Ace in real life.  His consistency over the last 5 years for Boston is bringing back memories of Roy Halladay in the glory years of his career.  Look for the APBA game company to start rewarding him with grades above 15, while Adam Wainwright is also on pace to also have a killer grade.

ROS – The Greys had a huge jump to become the best pitching team, led by Cueto, Greinke, and Wacha.  Three very strange names if there ever were any.  Hitting still brings up the basement, but overall this is not a bad team.

SPR and WAS – Tied with Roswell overall, with weak hitting and strong pitching.  Sonny Gray of Oakland is the one teams in our league may regret passing on the most.  He lasted until late into the 3rd round when wily Bartolo snapped him up.

ARL – also tied with Roswell, but with strong hitting and weak pitching.  Nelson Cruz, lambasted so badly by everyone when he was traded to Arlington, now is leading the MLB with 20 home runs and is the plum of the franchise.  Carlos Gomez has become the type of outfielder owners drool over if you can ignore his poor sportsmanship and arrogance on the field.  Of the two franchises a new manager could choose from, you get #2 pitching with Vermont vs. #3 hitting with Arlington.  Imagine how sweet it would be if you could choose your 36 players from either team.

SEA – Seacoasts pitching didn’t just fall from 9th to 12th, it fell off the charts with an ERA of 4.40.  The next to bottom 4 teams have ERAs of 3.76 to 3.97, and then there is Seacoast, far, far behind.  But the hitting came through in a big way, with Stanton jumping into the best player slot on this team loaded with hitting talent.  The Wayfarers are the #2 team in the league in offensive production.  What we said about the last 5 teams in pitching, we can say about the first 2 teams in hitting.  Oakton and Seacoast are off the charts being the only 2 teams with OPS above .800, and the rest of the league far, far behind.

DEL and CPK – The Oracles and Cubs are tied near the middle of the pack in hitting, with a slight edge to Delphi in overall pitching, although Steve is the manager who has the bragging rights to Tim Hudson.  Neither manager currently has confidence that they can compete this year.  Neither team is biting on trades when players are dangled in front of them.  Both of these teams are looking to enter the draft with all picks intact, and may be in major sell mode in July.

OCC – The Ospreys closed the gap a bit with strong pitching from Porcello combined with a great month by Alex Rios, but still are ranked last.  We hope for a good crop of young players next year who can propel this team into contention.  Occoquan owns 14 draft choices in the first 4 rounds and a record 19 picks overall.   The question for the Ospreys dismal team will not be which 12 players to cut, but which 17 players on the current roster are worthy of being kept.  If the draft were held today, I only see 9 players I could keep, so we would have to go 8 rounds deep into the supplemental draft before I could stop drafting, which would give me 27 new players out of 36.


So what are some of the players that might be first round picks next year?
Pitching has Masahiro Tanaka coming on strong with a 1.83 ERA for the Yankees, while Mark Buehrle is at 2.10 for Toronto, and Scott Kazmir has resurrected his career with a 2.36 ERA for Oakland.

On the hitting side we have Seth Smith, who was disrespected out of the NVABL but now sports a .967 OPS.  Michael Morse who was never disrespected, but had some tough years with the injury bug, is back and looking strong with a .925 OPS.  Jose Abreu is a rookie slugger from Cuba with 15 home runs already for the White Sox.  

It might not be a first round pick, but if you like speed it might be time to bring 26 year old Dee Gordon back into the league and leave him on your roster to stay.  He has 34 stolen bases and only 3 caught stealing for Los Angeles.  He’s on pace to steal 95 and be caught only 8 times, Which has the potential for a rare A steal grade with a number well over 30 in an everyday player. 


Lastly, who can resist drafting a 20 year old rookie named Rougned Odor?  He’ll be available.